Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova

W75 Koksijde · ITF · Quarter-final

ITA

Tatiana Pieri

#414WTA

1365ELO

1340Clay ELO

27 yrs

Last 10

WWLLWLLWLW

—

Sets

Friday, 7 August 2026 · 14:00

clay

CZE

Barbora Palicova

#342WTA

1380ELO

1374Clay ELO

22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWWLLW

Pieri T.

Palicova B.

Tatiana Pieri faces Barbora Palicova in the W75 Koksijde quarter-final on clay. Barbora Palicova holds the paper edge — ranked #342, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Pieri T.35%

Palicova B.65%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Palicova B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Barbora Palicova dropped just 6 games past Sofya Lansere.
Surface form: Tatiana Pieri 4 of 9, Barbora Palicova 8 of 9 on clay recently — Barbora Palicova the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Barbora Palicova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Pieri T.

4.1

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Palicova B.

4.6

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.6Clay Elo 1340

Surface ELO

5.4+33 Clay Elo edge

4.8Overall Elo 1365

ELO gap

5.2Overall Elo 1380

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.84 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.74 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season

Pieri T.Palicova B.

1st serve in·Even

62%

60%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

56%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

42%

44%

Service points won·Even

50%

54%

Return points won·Even

46%

43%

Break points saved·Slight edge

46%

51%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.2

1.3

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.7

4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Pieri T.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Palicova B.

Palicova B.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Pieri T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Pieri T.Palicova B.

Freshness·

—

100

Palicova B.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

22°CClear

Wind 16 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Tatiana Pieri vs Barbora Palicova — W75 Koksijde Quarter-final