Carl Emil Overbeck vs L. PrimucciM25 Fano Semi-final

M25 Fano · ITF · Semi-final
#344ATP
1293ELO
1257Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
clay
#1173ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWLLL
Emil Overbeck C.
7-6 6-4
Primucci L.
Emil Overbeck C.
762
Primucci L.
640

Carl Emil Overbeck defeated L. Primucci in the semifinals of the M25 Fano tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-4. Overbeck hit 9 aces to Primucci's 3 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Primucci's 20%. Overbeck won 2 service breaks to Primucci's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
46%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
72%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Clear edge
65%
51%
Return points won·Clear edge
40%
27%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Emil Overbeck C.78%
Primucci L.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Emil Overbeck C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw