Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikova

W75 Ourense · ITF · Quarter-final

BEL1

Greet Minnen

#182WTA

1723ELO

1667Hard ELO

28 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLWWWLWL

—

Sets

Friday, 7 August 2026 · 10:30

hard

BUL

Isabella Shinikova

#431WTA

1346ELO

1365Hard ELO

34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLWLWWLL

Minnen G.

Shinikova I.

Greet Minnen faces Isabella Shinikova in the W75 Ourense quarter-final on hard. Greet Minnen holds the paper edge — ranked #182, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Minnen G.86%

Shinikova I.14%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Minnen G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Isabella Shinikova dropped just 5 games past Mina Hodzic.
Last match: Greet Minnen handed Carmen Gallardo Guevara a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · Minnen G. 1–0 · Shinikova I. 0–1 · small sample

Minnen G. better · same surface, 7 days apart · ⚠ lower-tier event▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Minnen G.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Shinikova I.

3.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

8.8+302 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.2Hard Elo 1364

9.7Overall Elo 1722

ELO gap

0.3Overall Elo 1346

5.0First meeting on hard

H2H

5.0First meeting on hard

6.36 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.07 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Minnen G.Shinikova I.

1st serve in·Even

64%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

66%

62%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

Service points won·Even

60%

57%

Return points won·Even

45%

44%

Break points saved·Slight edge

50%

59%

Aces / match·Even

2.8

2.4

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.7

3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Minnen G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Shinikova I.

Shinikova I.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Minnen G.Shinikova I.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Minnen G.Shinikova I.

Freshness·Even

Minnen G.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Shinikova I.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

20°CClear

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Greet Minnen vs Isabella Shinikova — W75 Ourense Quarter-final

Win Probability

Key context

Common opponents

Umpiry Score

Statistics

Serve vs return

Clutch

Freshness

Conditions

Head to head

Draw