Elizara Yaneva vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Semi-final

BUL

Elizara Yaneva

#188WTA

1549ELO

1550Hard ELO

19 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLLWWWLW

—

Sets

Friday, 7 August 2026 · 12:00

hard

CENTER COURT · 1st on

CZE

Gabriela Andrea Knutson

#217WTA

1518ELO

1467Hard ELO

29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWLWLWL

Yaneva E.

Andrea Knutson G.

Elizara Yaneva faces Gabriela Andrea Knutson in the Warsaw semi-final on hard. Elizara Yaneva holds the paper edge — ranked #188, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Yaneva E.58%

Andrea Knutson G.42%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Yaneva E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Gabriela Andrea Knutson dropped just 6 games past Justina Mikulskyte.
Fatigue load: Elizara Yaneva carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Yaneva E.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Andrea Knutson G.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.0+82 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.0Hard Elo 1467

5.4Overall Elo 1549

ELO gap

4.6Overall Elo 1518

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

8.18 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.27 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 39 matches

Statistics

This season

Yaneva E.Andrea Knutson G.

1st serve in·Even

64%

60%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

61%

66%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

Service points won·Even

55%

57%

Return points won·Slight edge

48%

41%

Break points saved·Even

55%

53%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.6

3.9

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.6

4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Yaneva E.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Andrea Knutson G.

Andrea Knutson G.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Yaneva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Yaneva E.Andrea Knutson G.

Freshness·Clear edge

Yaneva E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Andrea Knutson G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather forecast

24°COvercast

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 50%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Elizara Yaneva vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson — Warsaw Semi-final