Rina Saigo vs Daria KhomutsianskayaW75 Ourense Quarter-final

W75 Ourense · ITF · Quarter-final
#274WTA
1307ELO
1293Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#296WTA
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Saigo R.
6-4 6-2
Khomutsianskaya D.
Saigo R.
662
Khomutsianskaya D.
420

Rina Saigo defeated Daria Khomutsianskaya 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the W75 Ourense tournament. Saigo won 5 service breaks to Khomutsianskaya's 2, and converted 38% of her break points to her opponent's 50%. Saigo had 0 aces and 1 double fault, compared to Khomutsianskaya's 4 aces and 4 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
40%
Service points won·Even
51%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Saigo R.29%
Khomutsianskaya D.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Khomutsianskaya D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw