Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kym — Hagen Quarter-final

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Lorenzo Giustino
ITA
Lorenzo Giustino
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
clay
SPARKASSEN PREMIUM COURT · 2nd on
SUI
Jerome Kym
#179ATP
1599ELO
1529Clay ELO
$98kYTD
$740kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Giustino L.
3-6 6-7
Kym J.
Giustino L.
360
Kym J.
672

Jerome Kym defeated Lorenzo Giustino in the quarterfinals of the Hagen tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 7-6. Kym hit 11 aces to Giustino's 4 and had an 89% first-serve win percentage, compared to Giustino's 71%. Kym converted 50% of break points, while Giustino converted 100%, but Kym secured 2 service breaks to Giustino's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jerome Kym closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Giustino L.Kym J.
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
11.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Giustino L.Kym J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
36
Break points saved·Dominant
32
91
Break points won·Clear edge
9
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
10
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Giustino L.31%
Kym J.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kym J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Giustino L.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Kym J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1355
Surface ELO
7.2+174 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1598
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Giustino L.Kym J.
Freshness·Slight edge
82
90

Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Kym J.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw