Marcello Serafini vs Massimo GiuntaM25 Fano Semi-final

M25 Fano · ITF · Semi-final
#1217ATP
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
clay
#422ATP
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWL
Serafini M.
7-5 6-4
Giunta M.
Serafini M.
762
Giunta M.
540

Marcello Serafini defeated Massimo Giunta 7-5 6-4 in the M25 Fano semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Massimo Giunta came in ranked #422, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Marcello Serafini claimed a first win over Massimo Giunta in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-17M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4R16clayMassimo Giunta6-3 4-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
75%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
39%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
67%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
7.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Serafini M.46%
Giunta M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Giunta M.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw