Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencic — Toronto Round of 32
SUI12
Townsend T.
Taylor Townsend faces Belinda Bencic in the Toronto round of 32 on hard. Belinda Bencic holds the paper edge — ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Bencic B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Belinda Bencic has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 90 vs Taylor Townsend's 40).
- Serve & return: Taylor Townsend brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 67), Belinda Bencic the stronger return game (Return Rating 67).
- Last match: Belinda Bencic dropped just 4 games past Sloane Stephens.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTownsend T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-01 | Charleston | R16 | clay | Belinda Bencic | 6-2 7-5 |