Ilia Simakin vs Florent Bax — Istanbul 2 Quarter-final
Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
RUS7#267ATP
1463ELO
1505Hard ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT A · 1st on
FRA2#247ATP
1399ELO
1387Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Simakin I.6-0 6-7 6-4
Bax F.
Simakin I.
6662
Bax F.
0741
Ilia Simakin defeated Florent Bax in the quarterfinals of the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-0, 6-7, 6-4 in favor of Simakin.
Key context
- Match story: Ilia Simakin handed Florent Bax a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–7 6–4 win.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-29 | M15 Monastir 52 | QF | hard | Florent Bax | 6-2 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
7.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTCSimakin I.62%
Bax F.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Simakin I. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
6.5+118 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.5Hard Elo 1387
5.8Overall Elo 1463
ELO gap4.2Overall Elo 1399
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
90
82
Simakin I.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bax F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 35%