Terence Atmane vs Jakub MensikMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLLWWL
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#17ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLLWWW
Atmane T.
vs
Mensik J.

Terence Atmane faces Jakub Mensik in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. Jakub Mensik holds the paper edge — ranked #17, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Atmane T.23%
Mensik J.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mensik J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
12 common opponents · Atmane T. 9–9 · Mensik J. 9–6
Mensik J. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO
7.7+219 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
12.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Atmane T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Atmane T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
83
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
96
Break points won·Dominant
23
69
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
82

Atmane T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw