Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Liel Marlies RothensteinerW15 Astana 4 Round of 16

W15 Astana 4 · ITF · Round of 16
#932WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 7 August 2026 ·
hard
#1188WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWLWW
Arystanbekova A.
3-6 6-2 6-4
Marlies Rothensteiner L.
Arystanbekova A.
3662
Marlies Rothensteiner L.
6241

Asylzhan Arystanbekova defeated Liel Marlies Rothensteiner in the Round of 16 at the W15 Astana 4 tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-2, 6-4. Arystanbekova hit one ace and six double faults, while winning 58 percent of her first serves and converting 62 percent of her break points. She won eight service breaks to Rothensteiner's six.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
35%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
47%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Even
49%
49%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Arystanbekova A.71%
Marlies Rothensteiner L.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Arystanbekova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.32 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw