Marcel Zielinski vs Alexander Wagner — M15 Bielsko Biala Round of 16
M15 Bielsko Biala · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
clay
Zielinski M.vs
Wagner A.
Marcel Zielinski faces Alexander Wagner in the M15 Bielsko Biala round of 16 on clay. Marcel Zielinski holds the paper edge — ranked #589. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCZielinski M.42%
Wagner A.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Wagner A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Alexander Wagner advanced when V. Horak retired.
- Last match: Marcel Zielinski edged Gabriele Vulpitta in three tight sets (7–6 4–6 6–4).
- Fatigue load: Alexander Wagner carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.91 of last 6 on clay
Surface form0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
9 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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66%
1st serve points won·
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61%
2nd serve points won·
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45%
Service points won·
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56%
Return points won·
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42%
Break points saved·
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54%
Aces / match·
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0.8
Double faults / match·
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3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 54%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.