Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina SiniakovaToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#82WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWLWL
Rakhimova K.
vs
Siniakova K.

Kamilla Rakhimova faces Katerina Siniakova in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Katerina Siniakova holds the paper edge — ranked #36, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Rakhimova K.49%
Siniakova K.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Rakhimova K. 2–6 · Siniakova K. 5–4
Siniakova K. better · same surface, 2 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1671
Surface ELO
6.7+136 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1846
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

33 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.3
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
8
31
Break points saved·Slight edge
2
12
Break points won·Clear edge
76
90
Deciding sets·Even
20
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Rakhimova K.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-09Hong KongR16hardKaterina Siniakova6-7 6-3 6-1
2023-02-27MonterreyR32hardKamilla Rakhimova7-6 2-6 7-6

Draw