Panna Udvardy vs Naomi Osaka — Toronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
Panna Udvardy
HUN
Panna Udvardy
#74WTA
1681ELO
1577Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWWLL
—
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
Naomi Osaka
JPN11
Naomi Osaka
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLW
Udvardy P.
vs
Osaka N.

Panna Udvardy faces Naomi Osaka in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Naomi Osaka holds the paper edge — ranked #13, a roughly 340-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

  • “I did better than last year in DC, so I'm just hoping to keep the ball rolling. I haven't historically played super, super well here, so I'm just hoping to change that this year.”

    Osaka N.Inquirer.net ↗

  • “I would just hope to gain a lot of confidence leading into New York. I lost my last match, but it's helped me figure out what I want to do exactly, or how I want to take my tennis.”

    Osaka N.Inquirer.net ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Udvardy P.14%
Osaka N.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Osaka N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
8 common opponents · Udvardy P. 5–6 · Osaka N. 9–1
Osaka N. better · same surface, 4 days apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Udvardy P.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Osaka N.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Hard Elo 1577
Surface ELO
9.3+345 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1987
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Udvardy P.Osaka N.
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Udvardy P.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Udvardy P.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Udvardy P.Osaka N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
89
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
84
Break points won·Clear edge
77
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
97
Tiebreaks·Even
89
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Udvardy P.Osaka N.
Freshness·Even
78
76

Udvardy P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw