Sae Noguchi vs Junhan ZhangW15 Tianjin Round of 16

W15 Tianjin · ITF · Round of 16
#650WTA
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#624WTA
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLLW
Noguchi S.
6-4 3-6 4-6
Zhang J.
Noguchi S.
6341
Zhang J.
4662

Junhan Zhang defeated Sae Noguchi 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Tianjin tournament. Zhang and Noguchi were even in aces (1-1) and double faults (2-2), and had similar first-serve win percentages (66-65). Zhang converted all five of her break points, while Noguchi converted two of five, as Zhang won one more service break (3-2).

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Dominant
79%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.2
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Noguchi S.52%
Zhang J.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw