Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone — Montreal Round of 64
MON14
Vacherot V.
Valentin Vacherot faces Mariano Navone in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Valentin Vacherot holds the paper edge — ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Vacherot V. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Valentin Vacherot comes in with 13 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Mariano Navone's 1 and 67.
- Serve & return: Valentin Vacherot leads on Serve Rating (63), Mariano Navone on Return Rating (92).
- Head-to-head: Valentin Vacherot leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Miami Masters 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVacherot V.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Navone M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | R64 | hard | Valentin Vacherot | 6-3 6-4 |