Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — Toronto Round of 64
UKR9
Svitolina E.
Elina Svitolina faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 330-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Elina Svitolina comes in with 2 days of rest and 42 games in 14d, vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's 13 and 24.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Elina Svitolina has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 89 vs 32).
- Last match: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro dropped just 6 games past Ariana Arseneault.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvitolina E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
3–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-06 | Rome | R64 | clay | Elina Svitolina | 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-04-14 | Rouen | QF | clay | Elina Svitolina | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Elina Svitolina | 6-4 6-1 |