Liudmila Samsonova vs Barbora Krejcikova — Toronto Round of 64
CZE22
Samsonova L.
Liudmila Samsonova faces Barbora Krejcikova in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Barbora Krejcikova is the paper favourite — ranked #25, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Liudmila Samsonova has won 3 of their 4 previous meetings. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Krejcikova B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Liudmila Samsonova comes in with 3 days of rest and 64 games in 14d, vs Barbora Krejcikova's 9 and 89.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Barbora Krejcikova has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 87 vs 57).
- Last match: Liudmila Samsonova edged Janice Tjen in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSamsonova L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
3–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-20 | Strasbourg | R32 | clay | Liudmila Samsonova | 6-2 6-7 6-4 |
| 2024-02-05 | Abu Dhabi | QF | hard | Liudmila Samsonova | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Stuttgart | R32 | clay | Barbora Krejcikova | 6-2 6-0 |
| 2023-02-06 | Abu Dhabi | R16 | hard | Liudmila Samsonova | 7-5 7-6 |