Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur RinderknechMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#62ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$777kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWWLL
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#29ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLW
Kecmanovic M.
vs
Rinderknech A.

Miomir Kecmanovic faces Arthur Rinderknech in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Arthur Rinderknech holds the paper edge — ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Kecmanovic M.41%
Rinderknech A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Rinderknech A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
11 common opponents · Kecmanovic M. 4–12 · Rinderknech A. 5–10
Rinderknech A. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1709
Surface ELO
5.5+39 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1780
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
12.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kecmanovic M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Rinderknech A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
49
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Dominant
31
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
29
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
69
97

Kecmanovic M.: played today · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Rinderknech A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaR32clayArthur Rinderknech6-4 6-2
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardArthur Rinderknech6-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 6-4
2021-04-19BelgradeR16hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-3 3-6 6-3

Draw