Soon Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan — Lexington Round of 16

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Soon Woo Kwon
KORQ
Soon Woo Kwon
#152ATP
1744ELO
1716Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 4th on
USAALT
Andre Ilagan
#210ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Woo Kwon S.
6-3 6-7 4-6
Ilagan A.
Woo Kwon S.
6641
Ilagan A.
3762

Andre Ilagan advanced to the quarterfinals of the Lexington tournament with a three-set win over Soon Woo Kwon in the Round of 16. Ilagan recovered from a set deficit to take the match 3-6, 7-6, 6-4. Despite being out-aced and out-served in several categories, Ilagan converted 57% of his break points to help secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Woo Kwon S.Ilagan A.
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
70%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Woo Kwon S.Ilagan A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
48
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
76
Break points won·Even
15
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
64
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Woo Kwon S.82%
Ilagan A.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Woo Kwon S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Woo Kwon S.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ilagan A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+197 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1518
7.5Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1543
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in Usa (46)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Woo Kwon S.Ilagan A.
Freshness·Clear edge
54
68

Woo Kwon S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Ilagan A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw