Ivan Gretskiy vs Y. Yerdilda — M15 Astana 2 Round of 32

M15 Astana 2 · ITF · Round of 32
RUS
Ivan Gretskiy
#1241ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
KAZ
Y. Yerdilda
#1929ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLW
Gretskiy I.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Yerdilda Y.
Gretskiy I.
3762
Yerdilda Y.
6631

Ivan Gretskiy defeated Y. Yerdilda in the Round of 32 at the M15 Astana 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Gretskiy. Key stats included Gretskiy's 12 aces and 80% first-serve win percentage compared to Yerdilda's 5 aces and 66% first-serve win percentage.

Key context

  • Match story: Ivan Gretskiy dropped the opening set before beating Y. Yerdilda 3–6 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Gretskiy I.50%
Yerdilda Y.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gretskiy I.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Yerdilda Y.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gretskiy I.Yerdilda Y.
Freshness·
—
98

Yerdilda Y.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw