Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor FritzMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#65ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLWW
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#9ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWWWW
Tirante T.
vs
Fritz T.

Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Taylor Fritz in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #9, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Tirante T.17%
Fritz T.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fritz T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Tirante T. 4–3 · Fritz T. 6–3
Tirante T. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1636
Surface ELO
7.5+202 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1909
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.58 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
15.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tirante T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Tirante T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
77
Break points saved·Dominant
73
99
Break points won·Clear edge
15
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
56

Tirante T.: 19 days rest · Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw