Alycia Parks vs Alexandra EalaToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#68WTA
1648ELO
1639Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWLLL
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#28WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWWLWWWL
Parks A.
vs
Eala A.

Alycia Parks faces Alexandra Eala in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #28, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage — but Alycia Parks has won their only previous meeting.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC
Parks A.21%
Eala A.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Eala A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Parks A. 4–6 · Eala A. 5–8
Eala A. better · same surface, 13 days apart · ⚠ retirement-shortened match
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1639
Surface ELO
7.4+194 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1895
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.58 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

42 vs 40 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Parks A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Eala A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Parks A.

Serve advantage — Eala A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
77
Break points saved·Dominant
14
75
Break points won·Dominant
10
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
99
69

Parks A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Eala A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardAlycia Parks0-6 6-3 6-2

Draw