Carl Emil Overbeck vs S. D'AgostinoM25 Fano Quarter-final

M25 Fano · ITF · Quarter-final
#323ATP
1293ELO
1257Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
clay
#854ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
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Emil Overbeck C.
6-3 4-6 6-1
D'Agostino S.
Emil Overbeck C.
6462
D'Agostino S.
3611

Carl Emil Overbeck advanced to the semifinals of the M25 Fano tournament, defeating S. D'Agostino in the quarterfinals. The match was won by Overbeck with a score of 6-3, 4-6, 6-1.

Key context

  • Match story: Carl Emil Overbeck came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
71%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Emil Overbeck C.68%
D'Agostino S.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Emil Overbeck C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

D'Agostino S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw