Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibson — Toronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
Maja Chwalinska
POL18
Maja Chwalinska
#21WTA
1833ELO
1736Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
Talia Gibson
AUS
Talia Gibson
#72WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLWWLL
Chwalinska M.
vs
Gibson T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Chwalinska M.46%
Gibson T.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Chwalinska M. 4–2 · Gibson T. 4–3
Chwalinska M. better · same surface, 27 days apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Chwalinska M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Gibson T.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Hard Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1737
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

40 vs 44 matches

Statistics

This season
Chwalinska M.Gibson T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Chwalinska M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gibson T.

Gibson T.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Chwalinska M.

Serve advantage — Chwalinska M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Chwalinska M.Gibson T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
74
Break points saved·Dominant
50
83
Break points won·Dominant
98
70
Deciding sets·Even
80
83
Tiebreaks·
—
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Chwalinska M.Gibson T.
Freshness·
—
96

Gibson T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CDrizzle
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw