Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr BindaIstanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#369ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT A · 1st on
#557ATP
1346ELO
1287Hard ELO
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLL
Poullain L.
7-5 7-5
Binda A.
Poullain L.
772
Binda A.
550

Lucas Poullain defeated Alexandr Binda in the Round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a straight-sets victory for Poullain, 7-5, 7-5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Poullain L.69%
Binda A.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Poullain L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1286
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1295
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1346
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
96

Poullain L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Binda A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CShowers
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw