Alice Tubello vs Emily Appleton — W35 Roehampton Round of 16

W35 Roehampton · ITF · Round of 16

FRA1

Alice Tubello

#204WTA

1487ELO

1352Hard ELO

25 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWLWWWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 6 August 2026 · 10:00

hard

GBR

Emily Appleton

#512WTA

1278ELO

1230Hard ELO

26 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLWWLLWL

Tubello A.

Appleton E.

Alice Tubello faces Emily Appleton in the W35 Roehampton round of 16 on hard. Alice Tubello holds the paper edge — ranked #204, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Tubello A.71%

Appleton E.29%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tubello A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Emily Appleton dropped just 6 games past E. Griffiths.
Head-to-head: Alice Tubello leads the head-to-head 2–0, 1–0 on hard. Last met at W60 Chiasso 2023.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Tubello A.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Appleton E.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.5+123 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.5Hard Elo 1230

7.6Overall Elo 1487

ELO gap

2.4Overall Elo 1278

5.0First meeting on hard

H2H

5.0First meeting on hard

2.53 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.58 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

39 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season

Tubello A.Appleton E.

1st serve in·Slight edge

71%

60%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

60%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

Service points won·Even

55%

59%

Return points won·Slight edge

48%

42%

Break points saved·Slight edge

51%

57%

Aces / match·Dominant

1.1

5.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

2.7

5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Tubello A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Appleton E.

Appleton E.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Tubello A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

18°CPartly cloudy

Wind 16 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

2–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2023-04-10	W60 Chiasso	Q32	clay	Alice Tubello	5-7 6-4 7-5
2019-01-12	W15 Fort-De-France 1	SF	hard	Alice Tubello	6-4 2-6 7-6(2)