Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Pliskova — Toronto Round of 64
Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
RUS5#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
Andreeva M.vs
Pliskova K.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTCAndreeva M.84%
Pliskova K.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Andreeva M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 months15 common opponents · Andreeva M. 14–6 · Pliskova K. 10–7
Both lost · same surface, 28 days apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
7.3+183 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO2.7Hard Elo 1811
7.6Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap2.4Overall Elo 1869
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
45 vs 12 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
4.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Andreeva M.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
89
86
Break points saved·Even
80
82
Break points won·Slight edge
100
92
Deciding sets·Even
94
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
63
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CDrizzle
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 71%
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Mirra Andreeva | 6-2 6-3 |