Yufei Ren vs Celia Cervino Ruiz — W75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
CHN
Yufei Ren
#329WTA
1361ELO
1328Hard ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLWWLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
ESP
Celia Cervino Ruiz
#727WTA
1218ELO
1219Hard ELO
28 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLWWWLL
Ren Y.
vs
Cervino Ruiz C.

Yufei Ren faces Celia Cervino Ruiz in the W75 Ourense round of 32 on hard. Yufei Ren holds the paper edge — ranked #329, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Ren Y.72%
Cervino Ruiz C.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ren Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ren Y.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Cervino Ruiz C.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1219
6.8Overall Elo 1361
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1218
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

43 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
Ren Y.Cervino Ruiz C.
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
44%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ren Y.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Cervino Ruiz C.

Cervino Ruiz C.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Ren Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Ren Y.Cervino Ruiz C.
Freshness·
100
—

Ren Y.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw