Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Victoria Rodriguez — W35 Southaven Round of 32
W35 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.vs
Rodriguez V.
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon faces Victoria Rodriguez in the W35 Southaven round of 32 on hard. Victoria Rodriguez holds the paper edge — ranked #428.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTCChristine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.47%
Rodriguez V.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Victoria Rodriguez's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon's has cooled.
- Fatigue load: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.1Won 36% in Usa (28)
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
5 vs 14 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
53%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Return points won·Even
51%
49%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
35%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.