Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian SorgerPlovdiv 2 Round of 16

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#410ATP
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Nesterov P.
6-4 7-6
Sorger S.
Nesterov P.
6772
Sorger S.
4650

Petr Nesterov defeated Sebastian Sorger in the Round of 16 at the Plovdiv 2 tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 7-6. Nesterov and Sorger recorded no aces and three aces, respectively, while Nesterov hit three double faults to Sorger's two. Nesterov won 71 percent of his first-serve points to Sorger's 52 percent.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Nesterov P.64%
Sorger S.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nesterov P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.22 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Nesterov P.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Sorger S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 23%

Draw