Daniil Medvedev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Montreal Round of 64
RUS4
Medvedev D.
Daniil Medvedev faces Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Daniil Medvedev holds the paper edge — ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–0, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Medvedev D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Daniil Medvedev has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 96 vs Botic Van De Zandschulp's 65).
- Head-to-head: Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 4–0. Last met at Rotterdam 2023.
- Fatigue load: Botic Van De Zandschulp carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVan De Zandschulp B.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
4–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-13 | Rotterdam | R16 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | R32 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | R32 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-08-30 | US Open | QF | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5 |