William Manning vs Jia Jing LuW35 Southaven Round of 32

W35 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32
#1027WTA
21 yrs
Last 10
LWWWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#417WTA
1346ELO
1313Hard ELO
36 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWLW
Manning W.
vs
Jing Lu J.

William Manning faces Jia Jing Lu in the W35 Southaven round of 32 on hard. Jia Jing Lu holds the paper edge — ranked #417. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Manning W.26%
Jing Lu J.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jing Lu J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Jia Jing Lu carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 7 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.0Won 50% in Usa (28)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
53%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Clear edge
25%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
40%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.0
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Manning W.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Jing Lu J.

Jing Lu J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Manning W.

Serve advantage — Jing Lu J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Jing Lu J.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw