Margaux Rouvroy vs Sofya LansereW75 Koksijde Round of 32

W75 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 32
#362WTA
1416ELO
1372Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWLLL
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#265WTA
1394ELO
1305Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
LLLLWLLLWW
Rouvroy M.
vs
Lansere S.

Margaux Rouvroy faces Sofya Lansere in the W75 Koksijde round of 32 on clay. Sofya Lansere is the paper favourite — ranked #265 — but Margaux Rouvroy arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Sofya Lansere's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Rouvroy M.41%
Lansere S.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lansere S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+67 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1305
5.3Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1394
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
41%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
49%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rouvroy M.serving34% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Lansere S.

Lansere S.serving32% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Rouvroy M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
82

Rouvroy M.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Lansere S.: 7 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw