Katrina Scott vs Elvina Kalieva — W100 Landisville Round of 32
Scott K.Katrina Scott faces Elvina Kalieva in the W100 Landisville round of 32 on hard. Elvina Kalieva is the paper favourite — ranked #132, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage — but Katrina Scott has won all three of their previous meetings.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kalieva E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Katrina Scott 80 games in 14 days, Elvina Kalieva 96.
- Head-to-head: Katrina Scott leads the head-to-head 3–0. Last met at US Open 2023.
- Surface form: Katrina Scott 3 of 7, Elvina Kalieva 5 of 7 on hard recently — Elvina Kalieva the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadScott K.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Kalieva E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 96 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
3–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-25 | US Open | Q64 | hard | Katrina Scott | 7-6(6) 6-2 |
| 2022-08-23 | US Open | Q128 | hard | Katrina Scott | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-07-31 | W25 Dallas | F | hard | Katrina Scott | 6-1 6-0 |