Sayaka Ishii vs Amelia RajeckiW35 Roehampton Round of 32

W35 Roehampton · ITF · Round of 32
#862WTA
1387ELO
1389Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LWWLLLLLLL
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#508WTA
1236ELO
1208Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLLLL
Ishii S.
vs
Rajecki A.

Sayaka Ishii faces Amelia Rajecki in the W35 Roehampton round of 32 on hard. Sayaka Ishii is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage — but Amelia Rajecki arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Sayaka Ishii's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Ishii S.60%
Rajecki A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ishii S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Sayaka Ishii 2 of 5, Amelia Rajecki 4 of 5 on hard recently — Amelia Rajecki the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Sayaka Ishii carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Sayaka Ishii leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W75 Trnava 1 2025.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+181 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1208
6.9Overall Elo 1387
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1236
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.3
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ishii S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Rajecki A.

Rajecki A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ishii S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24W75 Trnava 1Q32hardSayaka Ishii7-6(6) 6-4

Draw