Mina Hodzic vs Matilde Jorge — W75 Ourense Round of 32
W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Hodzic M.vs
Jorge M.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTCHodzic M.53%
Jorge M.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1367
Surface ELO5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap5.8Overall Elo 1448
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
38 vs 31 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
18°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 70%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.