Mina Hodzic vs Matilde Jorge β€” W75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#278WTA
1382ELO
1367Hard ELO
$40kYTD
$112kCAREER
24 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWWWLLLW
2 β€” 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 Β·
hard
#255WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
$76kYTD
$224kCAREER
22 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
Hodzic M.
6-1 7-6
Jorge M.
Hodzic M.
6772
Jorge M.
1640

Mina Hodzic defeated Matilde Jorge in the Round of 32 at the W75 Ourense tournament, winning 6-1, 7-6 on hard courts. Hodzic hit 5 aces to Jorge's 3 and converted 50% of her break points, compared to Jorge's 25%. Hodzic won 76% of her first-serve points to Jorge's 61%, and she broke Jorge's serve 4 times to Jorge's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Mina Hodzic came through a tight passage before pulling clear β€” 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
45%
46%
Service points wonΒ·Even
57%
55%
Return points wonΒ·Even
44%
45%
Break points savedΒ·Even
57%
57%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
2.9
1.6
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
3.6
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 08:50 UTC
Hodzic M.53%
Jorge M.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1367
Surface ELO
5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1448
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Even
90
86

Hodzic M.: 6 days rest Β· 1 match, 25 games (7d) Β· Jorge M.: 5 days rest Β· 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19Β°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw