Axel Nefve vs Cruz Hewitt — M25 Southaven Round of 32
M25 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Nefve A.vs
Hewitt C.
Axel Nefve faces Cruz Hewitt in the M25 Southaven round of 32 on hard. Cruz Hewitt holds the paper edge — ranked #370.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTCNefve A.44%
Hewitt C.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Axel Nefve 2 of 4, Cruz Hewitt 3 of 4 on hard recently — Cruz Hewitt the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Cruz Hewitt carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2Won 53% in Usa (103)
Country comfort6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
5 vs 7 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
52%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.4
3.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Nefve A.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
29°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.