Kayo Nishimura vs Dana Guzman — W35 Southaven Round of 32

W35 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32

JPN8

Kayo Nishimura

#487WTA

20 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLWWLWLL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 5 August 2026 · 10:00

hard

PER

Dana Guzman

#505WTA

23 yrs

Last 10

LWWWWLWWWL

Nishimura K.

Guzman D.

Kayo Nishimura faces Dana Guzman in the W35 Southaven round of 32 on hard. Kayo Nishimura is the paper favourite — ranked #487 — but Dana Guzman arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Kayo Nishimura's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Nishimura K.50%

Guzman D.50%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Surface form: Kayo Nishimura 3 of 10, Dana Guzman 7 of 10 on hard recently — Dana Guzman the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Nishimura K.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Guzman D.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.55 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.16 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

Country comfort

6.1Won 68% in Usa (31)

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season

Nishimura K.Guzman D.

1st serve in·Clear edge

65%

78%

1st serve points won·Even

55%

56%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

46%

Service points won·Even

52%

54%

Return points won·Even

48%

Break points saved·Even

53%

54%

Aces / match·Even

0.9

0.4

Double faults / match·Slight edge

1.2

1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Nishimura K.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Guzman D.

Guzman D.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Nishimura K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

27°COvercast

Wind 4 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.