Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Lucia Cortez Llorca — W75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
ESP
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
#659WTA
22 yrs
Last 10
LWWWWWWWLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
ESP
Lucia Cortez Llorca
#503WTA
1313ELO
1196Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
WWWWWWLLLL
Gallardo Guevara C.
vs
Cortez Llorca L.

Carmen Gallardo Guevara faces Lucia Cortez Llorca in the W75 Ourense round of 32 on hard. Lucia Cortez Llorca is the paper favourite — ranked #503 — but Carmen Gallardo Guevara rides a 7-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Gallardo Guevara C.44%
Cortez Llorca L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Win streak: Carmen Gallardo Guevara arrives on a 7-match winning run.
  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gallardo Guevara C.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Cortez Llorca L.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.42 of last 10 on hard
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
Gallardo Guevara C.Cortez Llorca L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
49%
49%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gallardo Guevara C.serving44% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Cortez Llorca L.

Cortez Llorca L.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Gallardo Guevara C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw