Maria Toma vs Xinyu Gao β€” W75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#871WTA
$5kYTD
$38kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWLWLLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 Β·
hard
#239WTA
1504ELO
1492Hard ELO
$94kYTD
$649kCAREER
28 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Toma M.
4-6 3-6
Gao X.
Toma M.
430
Gao X.
662

Xinyu Gao defeated Maria Toma in the Round of 32 at the W75 Ourense tournament, winning 6-4, 6-3 on hard courts. Gao hit two aces and one double fault, while Toma had no aces and four double faults. Gao converted 57% of her break points and broke Toma's serve four times, compared to Toma's one service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Xinyu Gao closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
70%
67%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
55%
61%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
51%
57%
Return points wonΒ·Even
44%
45%
Break points savedΒ·Even
53%
53%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
0.7
1.6
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
4.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 11:50 UTC
Toma M.7%
Gao X.93%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Gao X. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Even
92
96

Toma M.: 2 days rest Β· 1 match, 15 games (7d) Β· Gao X.: 7 days rest Β· 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22Β°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw