Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik — Montreal Round of 64
GBRQ
CZE13
Fearnley J.
Jacob Fearnley faces Jakub Mensik in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Jakub Mensik holds the paper edge — ranked #17, a roughly 330-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jacob Fearnley 137 games in 14 days, Jakub Mensik 62.
- Last match: Jacob Fearnley edged Adrian Mannarino in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Mensik J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.