Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik — Montreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
GBRQ
Jacob Fearnley
#94ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$611kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 5th on
Jakub Mensik
CZE13
Jakub Mensik
#15ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$7.4MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
Fearnley J.
3-6 6-3 3-6
Mensik J.
Fearnley J.
3631
Mensik J.
6362

Jakub Mensik defeated Jacob Fearnley in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Mensik hit 9 aces to Fearnley's 5 and converted 44% of break points to Fearnley's 33%. The win advanced Mensik in the tournament.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Mensik closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Fearnley J.Mensik J.
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
11.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Fearnley J.Mensik J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
76
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Clear edge
70
50
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Fearnley J.19%
Mensik J.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fearnley J.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Mensik J.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
9.1+328 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Fearnley J.Mensik J.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
77

Fearnley J.: 20 days rest · Mensik J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw