Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona FaleiWarsaw Round of 16

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#140WTA
1542ELO
1546Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
#221WTA
1511ELO
1514Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLLW
Young Suh Lee C.
2-6 6-3 6-1
Falei A.
Young Suh Lee C.
2662
Falei A.
6311

Carol Young Suh Lee defeated Aliona Falei in the Round of 16 at the Warsaw hard-court tournament, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-3, 6-1. Lee hit one ace and one double fault, while converting 71% of her break points and winning 72% of her first-serve points. Falei had four aces and eight double faults, converting 43% of her break points and winning 62% of her first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-09W50 Lopota 2QFhardCarol Young Suh Lee7-5 4-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Young Suh Lee C.50%
Falei A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1514
5.4Overall Elo 1542
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1510
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Young Suh Lee C.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Falei A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw