Juan Estevez vs Juan Sebastian Osorio — M25 Londrina Round of 16
M25 Londrina · ITF · Round of 16
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
Estevez J.vs
Osorio J.
Juan Estevez faces Juan Sebastian Osorio in the M25 Londrina round of 16 on clay. Juan Estevez holds the paper edge — ranked #329.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTCEstevez J.85%
Osorio J.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Estevez J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Juan Estevez handed Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–2 win.
- Last match: Juan Sebastian Osorio handed Rafael Tosetto a first-set bagel in a 6–0 5–7 6–4 win.
- Fatigue load: Juan Estevez carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
27 vs 6 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
36%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 66%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.