Ekaterina Yashina vs Alicia Dudeney — W75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
RUS
Ekaterina Yashina
#522WTA
1155ELO
1139Hard ELO
32 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWLLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
GBR3
Alicia Dudeney
#225WTA
1447ELO
1402Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10
LWWWWWWLLL
Yashina E.
vs
Dudeney A.

Ekaterina Yashina faces Alicia Dudeney in the W75 Ourense round of 32 on hard. Alicia Dudeney holds the paper edge — ranked #225, a roughly 260-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Yashina E.16%
Dudeney A.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dudeney A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Ekaterina Yashina 2 of 7, Alicia Dudeney 6 of 7 on hard recently — Alicia Dudeney the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Alicia Dudeney carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yashina E.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Dudeney A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1139
Surface ELO
8.3+264 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1155
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1446
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 48 matches

Statistics

This season
Yashina E.Dudeney A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Yashina E.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Dudeney A.

Dudeney A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Yashina E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Yashina E.Dudeney A.
Freshness·
97
—

Yashina E.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
16°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw