Abedallah Shelbayh vs Federico Cina — Lexington Round of 16

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
JORQ
Abedallah Shelbayh
#253ATP
1442ELO
1448Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 2nd on
ITA
Federico Cina
#174ATP
1630ELO
1583Hard ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
Shelbayh A.
7-6 6-2
Cina F.
Shelbayh A.
762
Cina F.
620

Abedallah Shelbayh defeated Federico Cina in the Round of 16 at the Lexington hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 6-2. Shelbayh converted 83% of his break points and won 76% of his first-serve points. He secured 5 service breaks to Cina's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Shelbayh A.Cina F.
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shelbayh A.Cina F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
87
Break points won·Even
31
32
Deciding sets·Even
54
52
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
22
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Shelbayh A.36%
Cina F.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cina F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shelbayh A.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Cina F.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1448
Surface ELO
6.7+135 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1630
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.78 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shelbayh A.Cina F.
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Shelbayh A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d) · Cina F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw