Clement Chidekh vs Naoki Nakagawa — M25 Southaven Round of 32
FRA1
Chidekh C.
Clement Chidekh faces Naoki Nakagawa in the M25 Southaven round of 32 on hard. Clement Chidekh holds the paper edge — ranked #202, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Chidekh C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Clement Chidekh has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 32 vs Naoki Nakagawa's 3).
- Surface form: Both 3 of 5 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadChidekh C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.