Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Pavlos TsitsipasM25+H Tauste Round of 16

M25+H Tauste · ITF · Round of 16
#1275ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#1027ATP
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Lopez Cherubino N.
7-6 2-6 6-7
Tsitsipas P.
Lopez Cherubino N.
772631
Tsitsipas P.
606772

Pavlos Tsitsipas defeated Noah Lopez Cherubino in the Round of 16 at the M25+H Tauste tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 in favor of Tsitsipas. He converted 43% of his break points and secured 3 service breaks to Lopez Cherubino's 1, despite Lopez Cherubino having more aces and fewer double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Dominant
20%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Lopez Cherubino N.63%
Tsitsipas P.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lopez Cherubino N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.81 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw