J. Chan vs Jenna Defalco — W35 Southaven Round of 32
W35 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Chan J.vs
Defalco J.
J. Chan faces Jenna Defalco in the W35 Southaven round of 32 on hard. Jenna Defalco is the paper favourite — ranked #703 — but J. Chan arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Jenna Defalco's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTCChan J.33%
Defalco J.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Defalco J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Jenna Defalco's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while J. Chan's has cooled.
- Surface form: J. Chan 6 of 10, Jenna Defalco 3 of 10 on hard recently — J. Chan the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: J. Chan carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.3Won 38% in Usa (45)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
8 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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64%
1st serve points won·
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52%
2nd serve points won·
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38%
Service points won·
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47%
Return points won·
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44%
Break points saved·
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43%
Aces / match·
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0.4
Double faults / match·
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5.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 65%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.