Niccolo Catini vs Iiro VasaM25 Fano Round of 16

M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 16
#901ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#971ATP
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWW
Catini N.
6-3 6-2
Vasa I.
Catini N.
662
Vasa I.
320

Niccolo Catini defeated Iiro Vasa 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Fano tournament on clay. Catini served 6 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Vasa had 7 aces and 5 double faults. Catini converted 44% of break points and won 65% of first-serve points, ultimately securing 4 service breaks to Vasa's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
62%
1st serve points won·Dominant
37%
82%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
67%
56%
Service points won·Dominant
44%
72%
Return points won·Clear edge
17%
41%
Break points saved·Dominant
50%
79%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.0
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Catini N.49%
Vasa I.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 5 on clay
Surface form
2.42 of last 8 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw